This Week In Golf - Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

Last Year

Zach Johnson shot 65-66-64-64 to beat Brian Davis by three strokes. Ben Crane and Jeff Overton tied for third place.

Fantasy Breakdown

Players to Think About

Matt Kuchar: I really like Matt Kuchar this week. Kuchar had his worst tournament of the year last week, a tie for 54^th at TPC Sawgrass. Kuchar’s track record at Colonial isn’t the best either, he tied for 56^th last year. So why am I picking Kuchar? He ranks 3^rd on tour in scoring average and 7^th in the all-around ranking. I have a feeling Kuchar bounces back this week and posts a top 15 score.

www.cbssports.com

Pat Perez: I am not a huge fan of Pat Perez, but it’s tough to ignore his history at this event. Perez has three top 10’s in his last three tries at Colonial. He has also posted three top 10’s in his last five events this season. Perez is a must-have on your fantasy lineup this week.

Zach Johnson: There was no way I could keep Zach Johnson off the list this week. He won here last year by three strokes and has been playing great lately. Two consecutive top 10’s and a victory here last year should mean that Zach Johnson will be in the mix on Sunday.

Players to Stay Away From

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Hunter Mahan: It kills me to put Hunter Mahan on the list this week and I expect him to prove me wrong. But, I can’t ignore Mahan’s history at Colonial. He has never posted a top 25 here in seven tries. Hunter is playing great golf right now, but you may want to avoid him this week and save your starts for other tournaments.



J.B. Holmes: J.B. Holmes hasn’t missed a cut all year and is coming off of two consecutive top 10’s. However, Holmes missed the cut both times he played at this event. What worries me is that J.B. wasn’t playing well coming into both of those tournaments and he is playing well coming into this one. I think he will make the cut this time, but I don’t expect another top 10 from J.B. this week.

Adam Scott: After playing great golf at the Masters, Adam Scott has slowly slumped again. Scott missed the cut last week and has five consecutive rounds in the 70’s. I think it is due to the putter. He has always been a solid ball striker, but Scott usually struggles with his putter. The short stick was great at the Masters, but he averaged 30 putts per round last week. If Adam Scott can’t get his putter going, it might be another missed cut for him this week.

My Picks

David Toms: David Toms finds himself on my list again this week because he continues to play great golf and place in the top 10. It’s very simply why Toms is on my list this week. He has five consecutive top 25’s, he ranks second on tour in driving accuracy and greens in regulation, and he tied for 13^th at Colonial last year.

www.pgatour.com

Stewart Cink: Stewart Cink is a safe play this week. I don’t think Cink will be top 5, but he is almost guaranteed to finish in the top 25. Cink has four consecutive top 25’s at this event and has never missed the cut.

Steve Marino: Steve Marino is a gut feeling for me this week. He missed the cut here last year, but finished in the top 10 the two years before that. He has played fairly well in his last two tournaments and I have a feeling Marino is going to be in contention on Sunday this week. I am pulling for Steve Marino to get his first PGA Tour victory at Colonial this week.

Booth’s Golf Tip of the Week – How to Win a Scramble

See next post.

stats from www.pgatour.com

How to Win a Scramble

A scramble is not the true game of golf, but it is the most fun. Four guys using strategy and shooting rounds in the 60’s. I have way more fun playing in scrambles than playing 18 holes of stroke play. There a lot of players that go into a scramble with no strategy, but that’s a mistake. You can strategize to win and still have fun.

You don’t need four great golfers to win a scramble, although that would make it a lot easier. Most of us are average golfers and need to find a way to construct a great team with four average players. A team with handicaps of 4, 5, 5, and 6 are not necessarily going to beat a team with handicaps of 4, 6, 9, and 12. The key is to have four players that have different skill sets. Here are the four players you need:

The Leadoff: This player does not need to be a long ball hitter or have a low handicap. The leadoff player needs to do three things: hit fairways, hit greens, and putt well. I always tell the leadoff hitter that the team doesn’t need to use any of their shots for them to have a successful day. If the leadoff guy hits fairways and greens, it will take pressure off of the rest of the team and the other three players can be relaxed. This player also needs to make great lag putts. Every putt should be a tap in at the worst. Nothing is worse than having your first putter miss a putt by four feet and the other three players have to bear down to get one close instead of trying to make it. That is where you can lose a scramble.

The 2-Hole: The second player in the scramble needs to be similar to the leadoff player. I like the 2-hole player to have a little more distance off the tee, but that is not necessary. This player needs to be able to hit any fairways and greens that the leadoff player misses so that the next two can relax, hit hard drives, and shoot for pins. If the leadoff man is hitting the ball well, the 2-hole needs to be able to hit the ball a little farther and shoot closer to pins. I also like the second hitter to be an excellent chipper. It’s nice to have a guy that is great around the greens, just in case.

The Homerun Hitter: The third player does not need to be consistent, although it is obviously nice if he is. I call this spot the homerun hitter because the third player needs to hit long drives and shoot for pins. Hopefully one of the first two hitters hit the fairway so that the third guy can rip one. Hopefully one can also hit the green so he can shoot for the pin instead of the middle of the green. This is the guy that can hit a par 5 in two or make a long par 4 seem short. It’s very difficult to win a scramble without a guy that can bomb the ball.

The Anchor: The most important player on the team is the anchor. The anchor needs to be a good all-around player and has to be strong mentally. If you think a four-foot par putt is tough by yourself, imagine a four-foot par putt in a scramble when your team is counting on you after three other guys already missed the putt. There is more pressure on the anchor than any of the other three players. I was in a scramble a few years ago when I was an anchor. I was on a par 4, the first golfer hit it out-of-bounds, the second golfer chunked it in the weeds, and the third golfer also hit it out-of-bounds. It was up to me to hit a good drive in play. You need a strong minded fourth player to win a scramble. It is possible to win without a strong leadoff player, 2-hole guy, or homerun hitter, but it’s impossible to win without a solid anchor.

The one thing I didn’t mention is that you should try to have at least three good putters on the team. You won’t win a scramble with zero or one good putter and it’s difficult with only two.

Once again, this is a way for average golfers to succeed in a scramble. Obviously four anchors make the ideal team, but we don’t all have that option…

Even if you can’t win, remember that the most important thing about a scramble is to have a great time no matter how you play.

NBA Conference Finals Preview

Well I want to start by apologizing to our few but faithful followers for being MIA the past couple weeks.  I hope in the interim you have been enjoying baseball getting into full swing and the NHL playoffs, but most importantly, the NBA playoffs.  I'm gonna break down the Conference Finals for you game by game, but before I do so, I'd like to comment on the NBA Lottery.  If you didn't know, the Cavaliers won the first pick in the draft.  It was a major victory for a Cavs team that everyone has pitied since the departure of LeBron.  They will now pick 1st and 4th in the upcomnig draft, and in a league where an all-star player can lead you into the playoffs, the Cavs may find themselves making one of the greatest turnarounds in NBA history.  If you look at their depth chart now, you would simply cringe.  But the addition of a Kyrie Irving/Enes Kanter, Derrick Williams/Brandon Knight or any other combination of the aforementioned would likely make the Cavs immediate playoff contendors.  As we saw in the years following their biggest lottery win ever in 2003, it really is a lottery.  The Cavs won't need our pity anymore, and if they can add another key player in free agency, they may even earn our respect once again.  I may go into this in more detail as the draft nears, but for now, it's time to break down the games.

Eastern Conference Finals - Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls

The Heat and the Bulls are almost polar opposites when it comes to their makeup.  The Heat's success revolves around their 2 1/2 superstars.  They can single-handedly score 90 points themselves, but if one of them is off, they really struggle unless a role player steps it up.  On the other hand, the Bulls are built around role players who form a cohesive unit.  They rely on defense, hustle and discipline to win games.  They have good depth, but rely on Derrick Rose to lead them on the court.  It's all gonna come down to how well the Heat can match the hustle and determination of the Bulls.

Game 1: I predicted a split in Chicago for this series, so I'm not surprised to see the Bulls come out and win.  As mentioned, the difference in the game was rebounding and loose balls, which the Bulls clearly won.

Game 2: If my prediction holds true the Heat will take this game.

Game 3: Miami is going to be electric and Wade is going to be the difference.  I predict a triple-double for him either in game 3 or 4.

Game 4: Again, Miami proves too much for Chicago as the Heat take a 3-1 lead.

Game 5: With their backs against the wall, the Bulls avoid elimination by holding the Heat under 90 points again.

Game 6: If you thought the Heat celebrated after defeating Boston, wait until you see their reaction after taking down the Bulls in game 6 to get to the finals. 

Western Conference Finals - Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

This is the battle of young versus old, up-and-coming all-stars versus aging veterans.  There is plenty of excitement for both of these teams.  OK City has never been here before, so they are playing with house money.  Dallas is looking to erase the memories of their postseason failures.  Dirk Nowitzki and Kevin Durant are MVP caliber players.  The matchup between Jason Kidd and Russell Westbrook features one of the best point guards of all time versus one of the most promising young points in the game today.  I have no other in game insight to add, this series is simply gonna come down to who outscores the other team on the given night.

Game 1: Nowitzki set a playoff record at the foul line and JJ Barea and Jason Terry added 21 and 28 respectively to hold off the Thunder to get the win at home.

Game 2: OKC needs to find out how to defend Dirk without giving up open three-pointers to Dallas' shooters.  They won't quite figure that out yet by Game 2, which Dallas will take.

Game 3: There's no place like home for the Thunder.  They gameplan to go after Dirk on the offensive end, getting him into foul trouble early.  With Dirk limited, the Mavs struggle to keep up and OKC takes it.

Game 4: OKC goes on an offensive onslaught, as Durant and Westbrook both score 30+ to get the win and tie the series at 2-2.

Game 5: Dallas gets red hot from beyond the arc to win game 5 and take back a 3-2 series lead.

Game 6: OKC falls behind early, but rallies in the fourth to force a game 7 in Dallas.

Game 7: The atmosphere in Dallas is undescribable as Dallas looks to get back to the NBA Finals.  An early lead disintegrates, but JJ Barea comes up big again as he hits a last second three to win the series.

NHL Playoffs...Recap and Analysis

My, oh my, oh my, have things changed since our last look into the NHL playoffs. A remarkably thrilling and "edge of your seat" type of first round was surely a precursor to an even more exciting second round. Yours truly broke down the second round and promised nothing but the best. For that, I certainly apologize. I am a die hard NHL fan. I'm talking the type of guy that watches before the playoffs.... watches before CBS picks the games up on Sundays. (By games, I mean the Red Wings, Flyers, or Rangers, of course). But wow. Thankfully the Red Wings came back from down 3-0 to the Sharks to make some excitement in round 2. Of course I have to eat a little crow, as my previous predictions were, well, less than stellar...

I had the Wings, Predators, Capitals, Hawks, Sharks, Sabres, Bruins, and Penguins advancing from the first round. I'll switch over to baseball and call it .625, which is pretty damn good. Round 2 was a straight yawner the entire way through, as the Bruins and Lightning swept the series with ease. Where did the Washington Capitals go? Where do they go each and every spring? This team is consistently the best in the league, and has now been swept by a lesser opponent 2 seasons in a row. The brass in Washington are being pressured to make it happen now, and to please the masses. They are going to have to make some high profile moves in the off season. The current squad clearly does not have the playoff swagger necessary for winning 16 playoff games.

The Bruins advancing was not really surprising, but the fact that they swept their nemesis from Philly was intriguing. They have solid tending in Tim Thomas, and a fairly deep roster of guys who know what they're doing in crunch time. Like I said going into round 1, the Flyers lack of a top tier goaltender and their aging roster just isn't cup worthy. Be prepared for some major retooling here as well, after back to back treks into the playoffs, this team is on the downswing.

Nashville put up a fight to the heavily favored Canucks, and there was a slight hint to the playoff collapse (see Washington Capitals) which the Canucks have been known for as of late. But once the smoke cleared, the veteran leadership prevailed, and the Preds just showed the league that they are merely a few keystone pieces away from being a real cup contender for the next 2-3 seasons. A solid influx of talent coming from the Admirals system is ready to help out next season.

In the final series, San Jose jumped out to a surprising 3 game lead. While the effort from the Red Wings was remarkable, and dare I say actually enjoyable to watch, it almost felt as though the Sharks were just playing it light until putting the nail in the coffin in game 7. Not the way they would have drawn it up, but the Red Wings never really gave me the feeling of being able to take control of the Sharks.

So here we go... another shot at the prediction game....

Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins (Series tied 1-1)

I haven't exactly been a believer of the Tampa Bay Lightning at all this season. They have flashes, but just don't seem to be a champion in my eyes. Their saving grace thus far has been the dinosaur Dwayne Roloson in net, and their spectacular coaching. Without a doubt, TB is the best coached team to this point, be it systems play, matchups, or lineup moves. I don't think they have enough to take it to the cup finals, however. Tim Thomas is a veteran goalie with a crazy unorthodox style (see Dominik Hasek), which this beat writer doesn't particularly enjoy, but respects highly. The Bruins have a better lineup top to bottom, and the return of rookie Tyler Seguin makes them that much more dangerous. He showed his impact tonight, netting 2 and helping on 2 other goals. The kid can flat out play, and he makes everyone around him better. He is the difference maker in the series. Roly the goalie holds Tampa in it, but Boston prevails 4-2.

Vancouver Canucks - San Jose Sharks ( Vancouver leads 1-0)

You don't want to put a series on the shoulders of any 1 individual, but I am going to do so on this occasion.... twice. This series sits between the pipes on both ends of the ice. Antti Niemi and Roberto Luongo can win or lose this series for their respective teams. Both offenses are powerhouses, and both defenses are solid. Luongo is the better goalie, but has not seen the type of playoff success necessary to be called a winner. It also doesn't help his cause that he has basically always had the best team in the league playing in front of him, and still not managed to win. He has been big this far into the playoffs, but can he finally take that step forward into goaltendings elite? Antti Niemi isn't as talented as Luongo, but when he has some support in front of him, has proven he can win. He won the cup last year with the best team in hockey in front of him, and was superb when he needed to be. He is in a very similar situation with San Jose. They have a winning team playing in front of him, so he only needs to be good, not great. If Niemi can stand on his head and make some of the saves like he did in last year's cup finals, the Sharks have the advantage. I bite my tongue and swallow my pride.... Niemi comes up big in game 6 to stave off elimination, and Joe (all I do is net playoff overtime goals) Pavelski is the hero in game 7 to take the big fish into the Stanley Cup Finals.

When all is said and done, the one thing you can count on this season in hockey is unpredictability. The sure things get swept 4-0, the kids look like seasoned pros, the impossible is standard, and the old timers look like 18 year old kids. Anything is possible, anything WILL happen, and the excitement will come. Look for this round to be gritty, high scoring, and much more exciting than the previous. I encourage everyone to watch, and I look forward to telling you I told ya so.

Last Week In Golf - The PLAYERS Championship

K.J. Choi beat David Toms after Toms 3-putted the first playoff hole. Paul Goydos took third place losing by two strokes. Luke Donald and Nick Watney tied for fourth place.

3 Up

David Toms: David Toms had the lead late on Sunday, but couldn’t close the deal. Even though the pressure seemed to get to Toms, he had another solid week. Toms tied for first in driving accuracy and was fourth in greens in regulation. Toms has three top 10’s this year and is a consistent play every week.

http://pga-golf.findthebest.com

Jason Day: Jason Day is showing that he is one of the best young players on the PGA Tour. He has three top 10’s in a row, including a tie for second at the Masters. He ranked in the top 25 in all the major statistics last week. Look for Jason Day to keep rolling and have some more top 10 finishes in the near future.

Hunter Mahan: Even though he hasn’t won yet this year, Hunter Mahan has six top 10’s out of twelve tournaments and is putting together a nice season. Mahan is a player that could win any week. His stats last week weren’t overly impressive, but Mahan still found a way to place in the top 10 again.

3 Down

Tiger Woods: Tiger Woods was disappointing again last week. I thought he would play well after his good showing at the Masters, but I was mistaken. Tiger was six over after his first nine holes and withdrew due to injury. I thought Tiger was close to winning again, but after his bad play and banged up knee, I think he is moving in the wrong direction.

www.sandbox8.com

Jhonattan Vegas: Jhonattan Vegas burst onto the scene this year after winning the Bob Hope Classic and taking third at the Farmers Insurance Open, but I think it was a bit of a fluke. I’m not saying that Vegas isn’t going to be on the tour for a long time, but he isn’t going to be at the top of the leaderboard every week either. Vegas has missed five cuts in his last six tournaments; I think he has come back to reality.

Anthony Kim: It’s been an odd year for Anthony Kim. He started the year strong coming back from an injury, but has played poorly in the last few months. Kim has one top 20 and four missed cuts since February. I am a big fan of Kim and think that he is going to be a great golfer for a long time, but his game is off right now.

Fantasy Breakdown Results

Players to Think About (1-2-0 ; 3-5-1)

Phil Mickelson (Loss): Phil couldn’t seem to get anything going at TPC Sawgrass and finished in a tie for 33^rd. It’s not a terrible tournament for Phil, but I was expecting a for sure top 20 finish. I wouldn’t be worried about one mediocre week; Phil is still one of the best in the game.

Luke Donald (Win): Luke Donald did exactly what was expected, another top 10 finish. That is now seven in a row. I am still saying that Luke Donald is playing the best golf in the world right now.

Ian Poulter (Loss): I knew Poulter was a hit-or-miss type of pick last week. I had a feeling that Poulter was going to make some noise, but he ended up in a tie for 57^th. Poulter never broke 70 last week and had a tough time making birdies.

Players to Stay Away From (3-0-0 ; 6-1-2)

http://i.telegraph.co.uk

Dustin Johnson (Win): Dustin Johnson continues to slump. Johnson didn’t break 70 all week and tied for 57^th place. Dustin is one of my favorite players and should be back into top form in the near future.

Bubba Watson (Win):  Bubba Watson has been playing great golf this year, but this just doesn’t seem to be his venue. Bubba did make the cut last week and had two good rounds. But his 76’s on Thursday and Saturday ruined Bubba’s chances of competing for another victory.

Charles Howell III (Win): I expected Howell to miss the cut last week and he did. Howell shot 73-74 and is now 0-for-4 at making the cut at the Players in the last four years.

My Picks (1-2-0 ; 4-4-1)

Tiger Woods (Loss): My pick of Tiger Woods was probably just wishful thinking. Deep down I knew Tiger’s injuries and poor play were going to continue, but I didn’t want to believe it. I think Tiger withdrew because he was six over, not because of his knee. I think his knee was bothering Tiger, but if he was a couple under par instead of six over, he would have still played. I miss the old Tiger Woods and so does the PGA Tour.

Ben Crane (Loss): Ben Crane’s week was just a shock to me. After three straight top 10’s at TPC Sawgrass, I thought Crane was a lock this week. Crane was off to a good start after a 68 on Thursday; however, a 76 on Sunday ruined all hopes that Crane was going to contend. If Crane shoots a 70 on Friday instead of a 76, he would have tied for 12^th instead of 45^th. One bad round cost Crane the tournament.

Sergio Garcia (Win): Sergio had me worried after his opening round of 74, but his 65 on Sunday helped Garcia finish in a tie for 12^th place. Sergio needs to work on his consistency, but he continues to shoot good rounds every tournament and make cuts. I am liking Sergio Garcia this year.

This Week's Record: 5-4-0

Overall Record: 13-10-4

Stay tuned for "This Week In Golf – Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial"

stats from pgatour.com

The Booth Review - MLB Standings

It’s almost the middle of May and people are talking about the standings in baseball already. Here is a breakdown of my predictions for each division:

AL East

AL East
	W	L	GB
NY Yankees	20	13	-
Tampa Bay	20	15	1
Boston	17	19	4.5
Toronto	16	20	5.5
Baltimore	15	19	5.5

No Chance: Toronto and Baltimore. I give Toronto and Baltimore both no chance of making the playoffs. There is no way that these two teams can compete in this division.

Slim Chance: Tampa Bay. I am surprised that Tampa Bay is only one game back right now. I think by the end of the season, it will be the Yankees and the Red Sox. The Rays have a good rotation, but they don’t have the bats to match up against New York or Boston. Matt Joyce is hitting .356 and Ben Zobrist is hitting .282. This won’t last for long and the Rays will slump. Sometime in the second half of the season, I expect the Rays to be out of the running.

In the Running: NY Yankees and Boston. The Yankees and Red Sox will be fighting all the way to the end of the season this year. They both have an unbelievable lineup and are probably the best two teams in the American League.

My Prediction: Boston. I think the Red Sox will win this division. The Rays don’t have enough hitting and the Yankees can’t match the Red Sox pitching. The Yankees should be able to hang on to the wild card spot and the Rays will be left out this year.

AL Central

AL Central
	W	L	GB
Cleveland	23	11	-
Kansas City	18	17	5.5
Detroit	19	18	5.5
Chicago Sox	14	23	10.5
Minnesota	12	22	11

No Chance: Minnesota. The Twins have been one of the most consistent teams in baseball in the last few years, but this season has been terrible so far. Joe Mauer can’t get onto the field, they rank 28^th in team batting average and 29^th in team ERA.

Slim Chance: Chicago White Sox and Kansas City. The Chicago White Sox look good on paper, but they always seem to find a way to disappoint you. Their lineup should be better than this and they have four good starters that are underachieving. I still think they can come back and make a run at some point, but the chances are slim because they are already 10 games back. I for one am not giving any credit to the Kansas City Royals. They are swinging the bats well right now, but their starting pitching is a joke. I expect a slump soon and the Royals to fall off the map.

In the Running: Cleveland and Detroit. I am still leery of the Indians, but you can’t argue with how they are playing right now. Detroit has the hitting, but needs to get their team ERA down in order to win more games.

My Prediction: Detroit. I think Detroit will get hot at some point this season and Cleveland will cool down. I think it could be a close race, but the Tigers will pull it out.

AL West

AL West
	W	L	GB
LA Angels	21	16	-
Texas	19	18	2
Oakland	19	18	2
Seattle	16	20	4.5

No Chance: Seattle. Seattle is terrible again this year. Their pitching is ok, but they can’t hit. I expect the Mariners to be out of the playoff race sometime around the All-star break or sooner.

Slim Chance: None.

In the Running: LA Angels, Texas, and Oakland. All three of these teams are legit. The Angels are ranked 6^th in ERA, Texas is ranked 3^rd in runs, and Oakland is 1^st in team ERA. This could be a dogfight.

My Prediction: Texas. I wanted to take Oakland here because of their pitching, but I think Texas is the better team. I think Colby Lewis turns his season around soon and Texas wins the division in a close 3-team race.

NL East

NL East
	W	L	GB
Philadelphia	23	12	-
Florida	21	14	2
Atlanta	20	17	4
Washington	17	18	6
NY Mets	16	20	7.5

No Chance: NY Mets and Washington. These two teams are like Baltimore and Toronto in the AL East. They are both completely outmatched by the other three teams in this division. I give them both a 0.01% chance of making the playoffs.

Slim Chance: None.

In the Running: Philadelphia, Florida, and Atlanta. Philadelphia is the obvious front runner, but don’t look past Florida and Atlanta. These are two really good teams and have scary good pitchers.

My Prediction: Philadelphia. I think Philadelphia wins the division, but it will be close. I wouldn’t be surprised if Atlanta and Florida hang in all the way to the end. My prediction is that Atlanta gets the wildcard and Florida barely misses out.

NL Central

NL Central
	W	L	GB
St. Louis	21	15	-
Cincinnati	20	16	1
Pittsburgh	18	18	3
Milwaukee	16	20	5
Chicago Cubs	15	19	5
Houston	13	23	8

No Chance: Houston, Chicago Cubs, and Pittsburgh. Houston may be the worst team in the league and I think the Cubs are going south soon. The Cubs lineup is below average and their starting pitching is mediocre at best. I don’t expect them to be within 5 games of first for very long. Pittsburgh has been playing tough this year, but they will fade away soon. They don’t have the star players it takes to win a division.

Slim Chance: None.

In the Running: St. Louis, Cincinnati, and Milwaukee. These three teams will be in a close race all year long. I think the Brewers slow start will turn around and they may be the team to beat in the second half of the season.

My Prediction: Milwaukee. You can call me a homer if you want, but I think the Brewers have the best team in the division. They are streaky, but their lineup is unreal. Their hitters consist of Rickie Weeks, Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, Corey Hart, and Casey McGehee. Their starting rotation is Zack Greinke, Shaun Marcum, and Yovani Gallardo. There is no reason why the Brewers shouldn’t make the playoffs.

NL West

NL West
	W	L	GB
Colorado	19	15	-
San Francisco	19	16	.5
LA Dodgers	17	20	3.5
Arizona	15	19	4
San Diego	14	22	6

No Chance: San Diego and Arizona.  The Padres have good pitching, but rank last in the league in batting average. Arizona doesn’t have a chance either. They don’t have the players to compete in any division.

Slim Chance: LA Dodgers. The Dodgers aren’t a bad team, but I don’t think they can hang with the Rockies and Giants for 162 games.

In the Running: Colorado and San Francisco. These two teams should be close all season long. The Giants can’t hit, but their pitching is phenomenal and the Rockies have a solid all-around team.

My Prediction: San Francisco. It was a tough decision, but I had to go with the best starting pitching. I think the Giants can pitch their way into the postseason again.

all stats from espn.com